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Over 272 million children across the globe are currently out of school, reveals a new UNESCO report. The number marks a sharp increase, highlighting setbacks in achieving global education targets by 2025.

A new report by UNESCO’s Global Education Monitoring team reveals that over 272 million children worldwide are currently out of school—a sharp increase of more than 21 million from previous estimates.

The surge is driven by updated enrollment data, population projections, and factors like the ongoing ban on girls' education in Afghanistan. With countries projected to fall short of their national education targets of 75 million students by 2025, the report warns that global efforts to achieve universal education are significantly off track.

The GEM team explains that the sources of data significantly influence the estimates. When enrolment is based solely on administrative records, the population increase is fully reflected in the out-of-school figures, particularly in countries with no updated data.

On the other hand, countries using survey-based data see a more balanced distribution of new population figures between enrolled and unenrolled groups.

The report estimates that:

11% of children at the primary school age (78 million)

15% of lower secondary age adolescents (64 million)

31% of upper secondary age youth (130 million)

remain out of school globally.

These estimates stem from a model that combines administrative data, household surveys, and census results to produce consistent global and regional education trends. However, the report notes that national figures may differ, as they are typically based on a single source from a specific year, while the model imputes data for missing years and provides short-term projections.

A concerning element highlighted in the report is the underestimated impact of conflicts on education. In crisis zones, education data is often unavailable or outdated, leading to gaps in understanding the true scale of disruption. The model’s assumption of steady educational progression becomes a limitation during such emergencies.

Even though projections suggest that the global out-of-school population could drop by 165 million by 2030 if countries meet their Sustainable Development Goal 4 (SDG 4) targets, the report warns of a potential four to six percentage point shortfall by 2025, especially among primary, lower, and upper secondary school-age groups.

UNESCO calls for more resilient data systems and urgent policy action to address the growing education crisis, particularly in conflict-affected and low-resource regions.

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